Labor Tops Likud in Polls, But Coalition Still Elusive
- For the first time, polls are showing the Zionist Camp with a statistically significant lead over Likud, while the latter still has an advantage in forming a coalition.
- Because Likud has a natural ally in Jewish Home (polling at ~16 seats) while the Zionist Camp's closest ally is Meretz (only ~6 seats), Likud might be seen by President Rivlin as having a the best chance of forming a government.
- Yesh Atid and the Haredi parties are both willing to sit with Likud or the Zionist Camp, though it's hard to imagine the Haredi parties agreeing to sit with Yesh Atid. Netanyahu can form a coalition with either, whereas Herzog and Livni would appear to need both.
- Negotiations to form a joint Arab list continue, but Hadash--which has both Jewish and Arab leadership--has been reluctant.
Read the full story at the Forward